Credendo has published its Global Risk Atlas 2025, an essential resource for identifying the threats and opportunities exporters face in 2025. Produced in association with leading business magazine Trends/Trends-Tendances for a special edition of The Economist, the Atlas is based around five core areas:
Geopolitics: The Atlas opens with an overview of global conflicts, from wars in Ukraine and the Middle East to tensions surrounding Taiwan and the South China Sea. In this context, emerging markets still offer great potential for exporters, while challenges include possible new tariff barriers from the USA, growing competition, as well as Europe’s own competitiveness issues.
Rise of populism: A theme that has become more prominent in recent years, it is relevant to exporters as policies commonly promoted by populist parties include tariffs and immigration barriers, which represent potential obstacles to free trade.
Demographic transition: While Africa enjoys strong demographic growth, Europe and parts of Asia and Latin America are experiencing declining birth rates and an ageing population. This has long-term consequences: a drop in the working-age population leads to a slowdown in the employment rate, tax revenues and economic growth, while pensions and healthcare spending soars.
Climate: Climate and associated risks are a major theme of the Atlas, and it is becoming increasingly urgent for governments to adopt climate policies or strengthen those already in place to address these challenges. Technological advances, including AI, may have a role to play in finding solutions and offer potential opportunities for exporters.
Compliance: New this year, the Atlas explores the reputational risks associated with non-compliance. This is a growing threat, with businesses increasingly having to comply with regulatory obligations and often highly-complex international sanctions.
Online Risks Map
Credendo also produces an interactive map online where you can see and select all risks at a glance.
Discover the map on our website.
For more information, please contact your Credendo contact person.